Elisa Faraglia
Global Financial Cycle: a multinational channel perspective
Global Financial Cycle refers to the fact that, nowadays, global financial markets follow a common cycle. Most scholars argue that the US monetary policy is one of its main drivers. Most of the literature has concentrated on the role of the international banking system as a contributor to the rise of this phenomenon. The role of multinationals remains so far unexplored and in particular the role of the denomination of intercompany and the transmission mechanism of US monetary policy to foreign dividend payments and risk premia.
Foreign Direct Investment as a Determinant of Cross-Country Stock Market Comovement
We develop a theoretical framework in order to investigate the link between two recent trends: (i) the rise in cross-country stock market correlations over the past three decades, and (ii) the increase in global foreign direct investment (FDI) positions over the same period. Our objective is twofold: first, we investigate empirically the channel through which the rise in global stock market correlations is associated with the observed increase in global FDI. Second, we develop a two-country stochastic asset pricing model with multinational firms that allows us to quantify the extent to which the recent rise in global FDI can account for the observed increase in cross-country stock market comovement.
Title of research: Union Debt Management
Union Debt Management - The advent of the EURO and the recent European debt crisis have sparked a huge economic literature that studies how idiosyncratic and aggregate shocks can be managed in a currency union once the individual countries give up their monetary policy independence. In this project we want to analyse how debt management could help each country to smooth different types of fiscal shocks. The aim of the project is twofold. The first is empirical: using a data set of debt portfolios of five Euro Area governments, we want run a battery of panel VARs identifying separately idiosyncratic and aggregate spending shocks to study whether government portfolios have been effective to absorb idiosyncratic and aggregate shocks. The second aim is theoretical. We study the role of government debt maturity in a two country currency union model without fiscal transfers, aiming to identify conditions and bond characteristics under which debt management can complete the markets.